OSCAR 2010
THE 82nd ANNUAL ACADEMY AWARDS
Hosts: Steve Martin and Alec Baldwin
Nominations: February 2, 2010
Ceremony: March 7, 2010
Presenters/Performers: Pedro Almodovar, Jason Bateman, Kathy Bates, Jeff Bridges, Sandra Bullock, Gerard Butler, Steve Carell, Bradley Cooper, Penelope Cruz, Miley Cyrus, Matt Damon, Cameron Diaz, Robert Downey Jr., Zac Efron, Colin Farrell, Tina Fey, Colin Firth, Tom Ford, Jake Gyllenhaal, Tom Hanks, Samuel L. Jackson, Anna Kendrick, Taylor Lautner, Jennifer Lopez, James McAvoy, Carey Mulligan, Sean Penn, Tyler Perry, Chris Pine, Queen Latifah, Keanu Reeves, Ryan Reynolds, Peter Sarsgaard, “So You Think You Can Dance” cast members, Kristen Stewart, Ben Stiller, Barbra Streisand, Quentin Tarantino, Charlize Theron, John Travolta, Stanley Tucci, Robin Williams, Oprah Winfrey, Kate Winslet, Sam Worthington
Anne Hathaway and new Academy President Tom Sherak made the announcement of nominees for the 82nd Oscar ceremony, early the morning of February 2, 2010. In the announced nominations, a couple of surprises were definitely on display (“The Secret of Kells?); however, by and large Should I See It’s panel research netted some pretty favorable results, certainly in the big categories. Many surprises came in the technical categories not announced live on television. Here’s a look at the nominees and a summary of Should I See It’s first attempt at predicting the nominees…
As far as our panel’s prognosticating was concerned, overall, the 13 panelists in reviewing all categories, hit 92/121 possible for 76%. Most impressively, in the Top 10 categories – namely, the 4 Acting categories, Foreign, Animated Feature, the 2 Screenplays, Directing and Best Picture, the panel scored a stunning 49/55 possible for 89%. Had it not been for “The Secret of Kells” nudging out the virtual consensus choice of “Cloudy With A Chance Of Meatballs” in Animated Feature, the panel would have hit over 90%. An easy year to predict, perhaps. A ton of fun to research and dig up contenders and track their progress? Absolutely. Stay tuned for updates throughout Oscar season, with the ceremony coming on March 7, 2010.
Check back with us often as we will be reviewing or re-posting reviews of all 10 Best Picture nominees leading up to the ceremony, as well as many other nominated films as possible to get you ready for the big night.
And the nominees and WINNERS are…
Actor in a Leading Role
- Jeff Bridges in “Crazy Heart” (WINNER)
- George Clooney in “Up in the Air”
- Colin Firth in “A Single Man”
- Morgan Freeman in “Invictus”
- Jeremy Renner in “The Hurt Locker”
Actor in a Supporting Role
- Matt Damon in “Invictus”
- Woody Harrelson in “The Messenger”
- Christopher Plummer in “The Last Station”
- Stanley Tucci in “The Lovely Bones”
- Christoph Waltz in “Inglourious Basterds” (WINNER)
Actress in a Leading Role
- Sandra Bullock in “The Blind Side” (WINNER)
- Helen Mirren in “The Last Station”
- Carey Mulligan in “An Education”
- Gabourey Sidibe in “Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire”
- Meryl Streep in “Julie & Julia”
Actress in a Supporting Role
- Penélope Cruz in “Nine”
- Vera Farmiga in “Up in the Air”
- Maggie Gyllenhaal in “Crazy Heart”
- Anna Kendrick in “Up in the Air”
- Mo’Nique in “Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire” (WINNER)
Animated Feature Film
- “Coraline” Henry Selick
- “Fantastic Mr. Fox” Wes Anderson
- “The Princess and the Frog” John Musker and Ron Clements
- “The Secret of Kells” Tomm Moore
- “Up” Pete Docter (WINNER)
Art Direction
- “Avatar” Art Direction: Rick Carter and Robert Stromberg; Set Decoration: Kim Sinclair (WINNER)
- “The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus” Art Direction: Dave Warren and Anastasia Masaro; Set Decoration: Caroline Smith
- “Nine” Art Direction: John Myhre; Set Decoration: Gordon Sim
- “Sherlock Holmes” Art Direction: Sarah Greenwood; Set Decoration: Katie Spencer
- “The Young Victoria” Art Direction: Patrice Vermette; Set Decoration: Maggie Gray
Cinematography
- “Avatar” Mauro Fiore (WINNER)
- “Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince” Bruno Delbonnel
- “The Hurt Locker” Barry Ackroyd
- “Inglourious Basterds” Robert Richardson
- “The White Ribbon” Christian Berger
Costume Design
- “Bright Star” Janet Patterson
- “Coco before Chanel” Catherine Leterrier
- “The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus” Monique Prudhomme
- “Nine” Colleen Atwood
- “The Young Victoria” Sandy Powell (WINNER)
Directing
- “Avatar” James Cameron
- “The Hurt Locker” Kathryn Bigelow (WINNER)
- “Inglourious Basterds” Quentin Tarantino
- “Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire” Lee Daniels
- “Up in the Air” Jason Reitman
Documentary (Feature)
- “Burma VJ” Anders Østergaard and Lise Lense-Møller
- “The Cove” Nominees to be determined (WINNER)
- “Food, Inc.” Robert Kenner and Elise Pearlstein
- “The Most Dangerous Man in America: Daniel Ellsberg and the Pentagon Papers” Judith Ehrlich and Rick Goldsmith
- “Which Way Home” Rebecca Cammisa
Documentary (Short Subject)
- “China’s Unnatural Disaster: The Tears of Sichuan Province” Jon Alpert and Matthew O’Neill
- “The Last Campaign of Governor Booth Gardner” Daniel Junge and Henry Ansbacher
- “The Last Truck: Closing of a GM Plant” Steven Bognar and Julia Reichert
- “Music by Prudence” Roger Ross Williams and Elinor Burkett (WINNER)
- “Rabbit à la Berlin” Bartek Konopka and Anna Wydra
Film Editing
- “Avatar” Stephen Rivkin, John Refoua and James Cameron
- “District 9” Julian Clarke
- “The Hurt Locker” Bob Murawski and Chris Innis (WINNER)
- “Inglourious Basterds” Sally Menke
- “Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire” Joe Klotz
Foreign Language Film
- “Ajami” Israel
- “El Secreto de Sus Ojos” Argentina (WINNER)
- “The Milk of Sorrow” Peru
- “Un Prophète” France
- “The White Ribbon” Germany
Makeup
- “Il Divo” Aldo Signoretti and Vittorio Sodano
- “Star Trek” Barney Burman, Mindy Hall and Joel Harlow (WINNER)
- “The Young Victoria” Jon Henry Gordon and Jenny Shircore
Music (Original Score)
- “Avatar” James Horner
- “Fantastic Mr. Fox” Alexandre Desplat
- “The Hurt Locker” Marco Beltrami and Buck Sanders
- “Sherlock Holmes” Hans Zimmer
- “Up” Michael Giacchino (WINNER)
Music (Original Song)
- “Almost There” from “The Princess and the Frog” Music and Lyric by Randy Newman
- “Down in New Orleans” from “The Princess and the Frog” Music and Lyric by Randy Newman
- “Loin de Paname” from “Paris 36” Music by Reinhardt Wagner Lyric by Frank Thomas
- “Take It All” from “Nine” Music and Lyric by Maury Yeston
- “The Weary Kind (Theme from Crazy Heart)” from “Crazy Heart” Music and Lyric by Ryan Bingham and T Bone Burnett (WINNER)
Best Picture
- “Avatar” James Cameron and Jon Landau, Producers
- “The Blind Side” Nominees to be determined
- “District 9” Peter Jackson and Carolynne Cunningham, Producers
- “An Education” Finola Dwyer and Amanda Posey, Producers
- “The Hurt Locker” Nominees to be determined (WINNER)
- “Inglourious Basterds” Lawrence Bender, Producer
- “Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire” Lee Daniels, Sarah Siegel-Magness and Gary Magness, Producers
- “A Serious Man” Joel Coen and Ethan Coen, Producers
- “Up” Jonas Rivera, Producer
- “Up in the Air” Daniel Dubiecki, Ivan Reitman and Jason Reitman, Producers
Short Film (Animated)
- “French Roast” Fabrice O. Joubert
- “Granny O’Grimm’s Sleeping Beauty” Nicky Phelan and Darragh O’Connell
- “The Lady and the Reaper (La Dama y la Muerte)” Javier Recio Gracia
- “Logorama” Nicolas Schmerkin (WINNER)
- “A Matter of Loaf and Death” Nick Park
Short Film (Live Action)
- “The Door” Juanita Wilson and James Flynn
- “Instead of Abracadabra” Patrik Eklund and Mathias Fjellström
- “Kavi” Gregg Helvey
- “Miracle Fish” Luke Doolan and Drew Bailey
- “The New Tenants” Joachim Back and Tivi Magnusson (WINNER)
Sound Editing
- “Avatar” Christopher Boyes and Gwendolyn Yates Whittle
- “The Hurt Locker” Paul N.J. Ottosson (WINNER)
- “Inglourious Basterds” Wylie Stateman
- “Star Trek” Mark Stoeckinger and Alan Rankin
- “Up” Michael Silvers and Tom Myers
Sound Mixing
- “Avatar” Christopher Boyes, Gary Summers, Andy Nelson and Tony Johnson
- “The Hurt Locker” Paul N.J. Ottosson and Ray Beckett (WINNER)
- “Inglourious Basterds” Michael Minkler, Tony Lamberti and Mark Ulano
- “Star Trek” Anna Behlmer, Andy Nelson and Peter J. Devlin
- “Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen” Greg P. Russell, Gary Summers and Geoffrey Patterson
Visual Effects
- “Avatar” Joe Letteri, Stephen Rosenbaum, Richard Baneham and Andrew R. Jones (WINNER)
- “District 9” Dan Kaufman, Peter Muyzers, Robert Habros and Matt Aitken
- “Star Trek” Roger Guyett, Russell Earl, Paul Kavanagh and Burt Dalton
Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
- “District 9” Written by Neill Blomkamp and Terri Tatchell
- “An Education” Screenplay by Nick Hornby
- “In the Loop” Screenplay by Jesse Armstrong, Simon Blackwell, Armando Iannucci, Tony Roche
- “Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire” Screenplay by Geoffrey Fletcher (WINNER)
- “Up in the Air” Screenplay by Jason Reitman and Sheldon Turner
Writing (Original Screenplay)
- “The Hurt Locker” Written by Mark Boal (WINNER)
- “Inglourious Basterds” Written by Quentin Tarantino
- “The Messenger” Written by Alessandro Camon & Oren Moverman
- “A Serious Man” Written by Joel Coen & Ethan Coen
- “Up” Screenplay by Bob Peterson, Pete Docter, Story by Pete Docter, Bob Peterson, Tom McCarthy
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PREVIOUS ARTICLE PRIOR TO NOMINATION MORNING
As the calendar turns to the new year, Oscar season sweeps across the movie industry; however, for those who track the Academy Awards, it really becomes a year-long event. Oscar prognostication has become something akin to following the NFL or any other major sport. Since the vast majority of Oscar contenders are released in the fall, one could argue that this when the season begins. Each subsequent week, new films gain or lose their “buzz” and all over the Internet, pundits and critics weigh the possibilities of each film and the likelihood that it can withstand the season and make it to Championship weekend; namely, the Oscar ceremony. After the Oscars conclude, it’s the offseason and those same critics and pundits either go away until the fall or start guessing about what the next year’s contenders will be. Honestly, it is no different than watching the NFL, MLB, or NBA networks year-round.
This past year, the Academy blew the doors off the conventional Oscar festivities by expanding the Best Picture race from 5 nominees to 10. The Academy nominated 10 films for Best Picture in its earliest days, curbing the process following the awarding of “Casablanca” as Best Picture of 1943. As ratings have dipped lower in recent years and the Academy has suffered a bit of a backlash as the most popular and more mainstream films have been ignored in the big, high profile categories (a fact not at all new and quite a historic one with the Academy’s nominating past), the move is a curious one – but for my mind, an exciting one nonetheless.
A fantastic site for Oscar coverage, Awards Daily, has often used the tag line, “No One Knows Anything.” This year that fact may never be more true, ; although as you will see below, there is general consensus in many of the categories amongst the panel of critics and pundits surveyed for this articles coverage. In fact, it’s all guess work. Many on the surveyed panel receive information from inside voters, “deep throats” within the Academy, and in some instances, have exclusively covered this Oscar sport for more than a decade now.
No One Knows Anything…apparently we will all know whether or not that is true on February 2, 2010.
THE PANEL:
Assembling the predictions below is the process of crawling the Internet and analyzing and comparing 13 of the most in depth and comprehensive Oscar prediction websites. In no particular order, the sites included in this analysis are:
In Contention, Awards Daily, And The Winner Is, The Film Experience, The Oscar Eye @ eFilm Critic, The Sijmen Oscar Experiment, Awards Circuit, Movie City News, Rope of Silicon, Wesley Lovell – The Oscar Guy, Awards Breach, Film Misery, and Coming Soon. In addition there are numerous sites and writers who are considered, despite not publishing predictions on a category-by-category basis. So, while no one knows anything – the predictions and buzz are listed below.
PREDICTIONS PER CATEGORY:
The Top 10 contenders will be listed in each category, except for Best Picture, where we will list the Top 20.
Within each ranking will be notifications of who appears to be a lock for the nomination, very likely, likely, on the fringe, or on the outside looking in. Each week, these notifications can certainly change.
And away we go…
PREDICTIONS PER CATEGORY:
Predictions updated Midnight, February 2, 2010
Best Picture Of The Year (10 Nominees this year)
“Avatar”
“District 9″
“An Education”
“The Hurt Locker”
“Inglourious Basterds”
“Invictus”
“Precious: Based On The Novel ‘Push’ By Sapphire”
“A Serious Man”
“Up”
“Up In The Air”
Best Directing
Kathryn Bigelow, “The Hurt Locker”
James Cameron, “Avatar”
Lee Daniels, “Precious: Based On The Novel ‘Push’ By Sapphire”
Jason Reitman, “Up In The Air”
Quentin Tarantino, “Inglourious Basterds”
Best Actor In A Leading Role
Jeff Bridges, “Crazy Heart”
George Clooney, “Up In The Air”
Colin Firth, “A Single Man”
Morgan Freeman, “Invictus”
Jeremy Renner, “The Hurt Locker”
Best Actress In A Leading Role
Sandra Bullock, “The Blind Side”
Helen Mirren, “The Last Station”
Carey Mulligan, “An Education”
Gabourey Sidibe, “Precious…”
Meryl Streep, “Julie & Julia”
Best Actor In A Supporting Role
Matt Damon, “Invictus”
Woody Harrelson, “The Messenger”
Christopher Plummer, “The Last Station”
Stanley Tucci, “The Lovely Bones”
Christoph Waltz, “Inglourious Basterds”
Best Actress In A Supporting Role
Penelope Cruz, “Nine”
Vera Farmiga, “Up In The Air”
Anna Kendrick, “Up In The Air”
Mo’Nique, “Precious…”
Julianne Moore, “A Single Man”
Best Original Screenplay
(500) Days Of Summer
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
A Serious Man
Up
Best Adapted Screenplay
Crazy Heart
District 9
An Education
Precious…
Up In The Air
Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year (5 Nominees this year)
Cloudy With A Chance Of Meatballs
Coraline
Fantastic Mr. Fox
The Princess And The Frog
Up
Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year
Ajami (Israel)
A Prophet (France)
Samson And Delilah (Australia)
The Secret In Her Eyes (Argentina)
The White Ribbon (Germany)
REMAINING CATEGORIES
Best Documentary Feature: The Beaches Of Agnes, Burma VJ, The Cove, Every Little Step, Food, Inc.
Best Art Direction: Avatar, District 9, Inglourious Basterds, Sherlock Holmes, Where The Wild Things Are
Best Cinematography: Avatar, The Hurt Locker, Inglourious Basterds, Nine, The White Ribbon
Best Costume Design: Bright Star, Coco Before Chanel, Inglourious Basterds, Nine, The Young Victoria
Best Film Editing: Avatar, District 9, Inglourious Basterds, The Hurt Locker, Up In The Air
Best Makeup: District 9, The Imaginarium Of Dr. Parnassus, Star Trek
Best Original Score: Avatar, Fantastic Mr. Fox, The Informant!, Sherlock Holmes, Up
Best Original Song: Avatar (“I See You”), Crazy Heart (“The Weary Kind”), Everybody’s Fine ((“I Want To) Come Home”), Nine (“Cinema Italiano”), The Princess And The Frog (“Almost There”)
Best Sound Editing: Avatar, District 9, The Hurt Locker, Star Trek, Up
Best Sound Mixing: Avatar, District 9, The Hurt Locker, Star Trek, Transformers: Revenge Of The Fallen
Best Visual Effects: Avatar, District 9, 2012
Best Documentary Short: China’s Unnatural Disaster: Tears Of The Sizchaun Province, The Last Truck: Closing Of A G.M. Plant, Lt. Watada, Tell Them Anything You Want: A Portrait Of Maurice Sendak
Best Animated Short: The Cat Piano, French Roast, The Lady And The Reaper, A Matter Of Loaf And Death, Partly Cloudy
Best Live Action Short: The Door, The Ground Beneath, Hotel, Miracle Fish, The Response
OFFICIAL PROJECTED NOMINATION TALLY PER FILM:
10 Nominations: Avatar
8 Nominations: District 9, The Hurt Locker, Inglourious Basterds
7 Nominations: Up In The Air
5 Nominations: Precious…, Up
4 Nominations: Nine
3 Nominations: Crazy Heart, An Education, Invictus, Star Trek
2 Nominations: Fantastic Mr. Fox, The Last Station, The Princess And The Frog, A Serious Man, A Single Man, Sherlock Holmes, The White Ribbon
1 Nomination: Ajami, The Blind Side, Bright Star, Cloudy With A Chance Of Meatballs, Coco Before Chanel, Coraline, (500) Days Of Summer, Everybody’s Fine, The Imaginarium Of Dr. Parnassus, The Informant!, Julie & Julia, The Lovely Bones, The Messenger, A Prophet, Samson And Delilah, The Secret In Her Eyes, Transformers: Revenge Of The Fallen, 2012, Where The Wild Things Are, The Young Victoria, and all Animated Shorts, Documentary Shorts, Live-Action Short Films, and Documentary Feature Nominees.
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